Mortensens Estimates Of Midlands Cost Of Capital Finance Essay

Published: November 26, 2015 Words: 1280

The operations of Midland Energy Resources are divided amongst three separate divisions which have different functions and need separate discount rate to evaluate its projects. The cost of capital is very critical in Midland as it used for many diverse purposes. The Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) is used to discount Midland's cash flows. Cost of debt is calculated using a 'bond yield plus risk premium' approach whereas the cost of equity is calculated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). In CAPM, the calculation of beta requires significant judgment. Industry data is used to calculate the beta, but such data is not available for one of the divisions where an alternative method is applied.

How are Mortensen's estimates of Midland's cost of capital used? How, if at all, should these anticipated uses affect the calculations?

Mortensen's estimate of Midland's cost of capital use:

1. EMRP value of 5%

2. Cost of debt: Yield to Maturity (YTM) of treasury securities of similar maturity + spread to treasury

3. Equity Beta

4. Target D/V after consultation among division, executives and board members

These estimates are used for various purposes ranging from performance evaluation to stock repurchase.

These estimates affect the calculations as follows:

1 EMRP values differ among historical data figures and various analysts.

2 Spread to treasury might not be evaluated properly.

3 Projects are in various countries. Therefore, spread to treasury may not be the right way to account for risk associated.

4 Country risk premium should also be added.

5 Beta may change across the divisions depending upon the type of business, operating leverage, and financial leverage.

Calculate Midland's corporate WACC. Defend your specific assumptions about the various inputs to the calculations. Is Midland's choice of EMRP appropriate? If not, what recommendations would you make and why?

Particulars

Value

Units

Assumptions

Average Stock Price for MIDLAND

$42.31

Average no. of Shares Outstanding

2951

million

Net Debt, D

$79,508

million

Tax rate

38.58%

Using 2006 : Effective Tax Rate

Equity beta

1.25

Equity market risk premium

5%

Calculation

Avg. Market value of Equity, E

$124,857

million

V = D+E

$204,365

million

D/E

0.63679346

D/V (Actual)

0.38904937

D/V (Target; for year 2007)

42.20%

Spread to Treasury

1.62%

Yield to Maturity _ 1 year

4.54%

Yield to Maturity _ 10 year

4.66%

Yield to Maturity _ 30 year

4.98%

Cost of Debt

6.4400%

50% of Long term debt has maturity period 10 years and 50% falls in the range of 30%

Cost of Equity (CAPM)

10.7900%

1 year bond YTM: Risk free rate

WACC

7.91%

Midland's choice of EMRP may not be appropriate as historical data on stock returns and bond yields supports the higher estimates of the EMRP. Other data, such as survey results suggest lower figures.

Recommendation:

Midland should use range of EMRP values to calculate a range of WACC and should use the upper, lower and most likely EMRP values to discount cash flows.

Should Midland use a single corporate hurdle rate for evaluating investment opportunities in all of its divisions? Why or why not?

Midland should not use a single hurdle rate for evaluating investment opportunities in all of its division.

The reasons for this are:

Beta depends on three factors

a) Type of business

b) Operating Leverage

c) Financial leverage

As these three divisions are not exactly in the same business and are having differential risk, therefore beta will not be same

Secondly, Operating leverage will not be same across the three divisions. Exploration and Production will have more fixed costs incurred because of its type of business

It will also have more uncertainty over the results of its projects. Therefore more the rise, higher will be the beta values.

Country risk premium has not been considered in the hurdle rate estimation. The projects being done in countries where political and economic scenario is volatile should have higher WACC taking country risk premium into account

Discrepancy in calculation of Cost of Debt: The maturity value of debt raised might not be same for every business segment. Therefore, Yield to Maturity of treasury bonds should not be taken equal, which ultimately affects the cost of debt.

Compute a separate cost of capital for the E&P and Marketing & Refining divisions. What causes them to differ from one another?

Exploration and Production

Equity Market Value

Net Debt

D/E

Equity Beta

LTM Revenue

LTM Earnings

Jackson energy

57931

6480

11.20%

0.89

18512

4981

Wide Plain Petroleum

46089

39375

85.40%

1.21

17827

8495

Corsicana Energy Corp.

42262

6442

15.20%

1.11

14505

4467

Worthington Petroleum

27591

13098

47.50%

1.39

12820

3506

Average Value

39.83%

1.15

WACC Calculation for Midland- E&P Division

Particulars

Value

Units

Assumptions

Effective Tax rate for all the firms

40%

Assuming it to be 40%

Avg. Debt to Equity ratio of Firms

39.83%

Average: Calculated

Average Beta_all firms

1.15

Equal Weighted Average

Debt/ Value _Target for E&P

46%

Target as given in Table 1

Marginal Tax rate of Midland E&P

38.58%

Taken for Year 2006

Spread to Treasury

1.60%

Given in the Table 1

Calculation

Unlevered Beta _ Midland E&P

0.9282

D/E_ Target for E&P

85.19%

Levered Beta

1.41

Cost of Equity_CAPM

11.61%

Cost of Debt

6.4200%

WACC

8.0828%

Refining and Marketing

Equity Market Value

Net Debt

D/E

Equity Beta

LTM Revenue

LTM Earnings

Bexar Energy Inc.

60356

6200

10.30%

1.7

160708

9560

Kirk Corp.

15567

3017

19.40%

0.94

67751

1713

White Point Energy

9204

1925

20.90%

1.78

31682

1402

Petrarch Fuel Services

2460

-296

-12.00%

0.24

18874

112

Arkana Petroleum Corp.

18363

5931

32.30%

1.25

49117

3353

Beaumont Energy Inc

32662

6743

20.60%

1.04

59989

1467

Dameron Fuel Services

48796

24525

50.30%

1.42

58750

4646

Average

20.26%

1.196

WACC Calculation for Midland- Refining and Marketing Division

Particulars

Value

Units

Assumptions

Effective Tax rate for all the firms

40%

Assuming it to be 40%

Avg. Debt to Equity ratio of Firms

20.26%

Average: Calculated

Average Beta_all firms

1.196

Equal Weighted Average

Debt/ Value _Target for E&P

31%

Target as given in Table 1

Marginal Tax rate of Midland E&P

38.58%

Taken for Year 2006

Spread to Treasury

1.80%

Given in the Table 1

Calculation

Unlevered Beta _ Midland E&P

1.0661

D/E_ Target for E&P

44.93%

Levered Beta

1.36

Cost of Equity_CAPM

11.34%

EMPR assumed to be 5%

Cost of Debt

6.6200%

WACC

9.0862%

Reasons for different WACC

Cost of Capital of both the division differs because of different debt to equity ratio of both the firms and different equity beta. We are using comparable method to compute cost of capital for both the divisions and the difference in both for other comparables firms lead to different values.

One more reason is different debt to equity ratio of both the divisions. Also for computation of cost of debt, spread to treasury is different.

How would you compute a cost of capital for the Petrochemical division?

Equity Beta Midland

1.25

Equity Beta_ E&P

1.41

Equity Beta_Ref

1.36

Operating Revenue_E&P

22357

Operating Revenue_Ref.

202971

Operating Revenue_Petro

23189

Spread to Treasury

1.35%

Marginal Tax Rate

38.58%

Debt/Value (D/V)

40%

EMRP

5%

RFR

4.54%

Calculation

Weight of E&P

0.09

Weight of Ref.

0.82

Weight of Petro

0.09

Equity beta of Petro

0.132921644

Cost of Equity_CAPM

5.20%

D/E

66.67%

Cost of Debt

6.17%

WACC

4.64%